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Bitcoin race dip under $ 100k is only temporary

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Written by Arjan Schreur on June 23, 2025.

The Bitcoin course fell shortly below $ 100,000 due to tensions in Iran, but according to Arthur Hayes the decrease in a temporary nature and the long -term image remains positive.

Of Bitcoin Koers Last weekend came under pressure again due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. For the first time since the beginning of May, the race delved briefly below the $ 100,000 border, to a low of $ 98,500. This decrease followed on American air strikes on nuclear installations in Iran, which led to a sharpening of the conflict between the two countries. Yet analysts expect this weakness to be of a temporary nature.

According to Arthur Hayes, co -founder of Crypto fair BitMEXinvestors don’t have to worry. In a message on X he announced that the “weakness will pass” and that Bitcoin will eventually confirm his status as a safe haven. Hayes sees extra monetary extension by central banks as an important driver for a restoration of the course. He is with that in line with the analysts of Real Vision Who also see increasing liquidity in the coming months as a driver of the crypto races.

Institutional support for Bitcoin persists

Despite the fall in price, great investors continue to keep confidence in Bitcoin. Eugene Cheung, commercial director of the OSL digital trading platform, emphasized that the recent DIP was only temporary and that the underlying demand from institutional parties remains strong. “The resilience of Bitcoin despite increased geopolitical risks indicates a structural question and a persistently positive long -term vision,” said Cheung.

Of wider cryptomarket Also responded negatively to the events, in which total market capitalization fell by around $ 50 billion in the last 12 hours. Ethereum Fell by more than 7% to $ 2,135, while most altcoins finished in red. Only Hyperliquid managed to escape the decrease.

Macro-economic pressure on the way

In addition to geopolitical factors, investors are also looking at a full economic agenda in the United States this week. Important inflation figures are expected, including the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs, data about home sales and consumer confidence, and on Friday the key figures for the personal consumer spending (PCE).

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will appear before the congress this week to explain the interest policy and the economic prospects. Through his explanation, investors hope to get more clarity about the interest path for the coming months.

This combination of geopolitical uncertainty and economic figures ensures increased volatility on the cryptomarket. “It is an extremely sensitive period for risky assets,” said a 10x research analyst. However, as long as the Bitcoin rate remains above the technical support points of $ 98,000 and $ 102,000, there are still opportunities for short -term rallies.

Bitcoin course (BTC) 1-hour graph
Bitcoin course (BTC) 1-hour graph. Source: TradingView

Summer of consolidation

Yet an outbreak appears unlikely in the short term. The Bitcoin course has been trapped in a consolidation phase for five weeks, with three attempts to break over $ 110,000 failed. According to Markus Thielen from 10x research, this is due to recurring macro-economic shocks, such as worries about trading taxes and now the rising conflict between Israel and Iran.

“Bitcoin is currently not functioning as a risk -avoiding investment,” says Thielen. He expects the lateral movements to last this summer, unless there are strong new drivers who restore confidence in a further increase.

Altcoins in the waiting room

Where Bitcoin is central to current market movements, there are also signs that altcoins may perform stronger in the coming months. Nick Ruck from LVRG Research notes that the Altcoinmarkt signs of relative power is starting to show. “If the macro-economic conditions stabilize, Altcoins can benefit from specific sector developments within the crypto industry,” said Ruck.

For the time being, however, most altcoins have not yet recovered from the broad market correction. The total cryptomarkt fell to a value of $ 3.21 trillion, a decrease of 1.5% compared to Sunday. According to data from Coingecko, this is a decrease of approximately $ 50 billion in 12 hours.

Volatility as a new standard?

The recent events again underline how sensitive the cryptomarkt is to geopolitical and economic developments. The threat of a further escalation between Iran and the US, possibly with the involvement of other countries such as Russia, focuses on investors. For example, Iran warned about closing the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial passage for the global oil trade. Russia also claimed that some countries are willing to provide Iran with nuclear weapons.

In this tense context, investors remain alert to both political developments and economic figures. In the coming week, it might be decisive for the further price trend of Bitcoin and other digital assets.

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