Written by Arjan Schreur on June 25, 2025.
The Bitcoin Koers has recovered strikingly in recent days, after having dropped under the psychological limit of $ 100,000 earlier. While the market shows signs of recovery, the interest in the digital gold continues to be high – even despite a massive wave of profit -giving profiters by short -term investors.
Tensions in the Middle East Print course, recovery follows quickly
Last week started with a sharp fall in the Bitcoin Koerscaused by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Attacks between the United States and Iran led to nervousness among investors, as a result of which Bitcoin even fell to $ 98,250 – the lowest point in more than a month.
Yet a further crash was not forthcoming. In the following 48 hours, the geopolitical situation improved considerably, partly thanks to an unexpected cease-fire between Israel and Iran. The US President confirmed a “complete and total” stopping of the hostilities. This news worked as a catalyst for a strong recovery of the Bitcoin course.
Recovery to $ 107,000: a sign of resilience
The Bitcoin race then rose to $ 105,000 on Monday, and even reached a weekly peak of just over $ 107,000 on Tuesday morning. Although the race then slightly returned, Bitcoin still notes a profit compared to the beginning of the week. The total market capitalization of Bitcoin is currently around $ 2,117 trillion, while the dominance figure on the cryptomarkt is above 62%.
Mass profit made by new buyers
Behind the scenes, the story is even more impressive. On-chain data shows that around 720,000 BTC have been sold by investors who have entered since mid-April. These coins sold, mainly from short-term holders, represented an increase of $ 66 billion in the so-called “realized cap”-an indication of realized profit.
Normally such a large sales pressure would lead to a substantial price fall. Yet that did not happen. According to Blockchain analyst Axel Adler Jr. His new buyers continue to enter and they have recorded the BTC sold almost immediately. This balance between profits and fresh inflow ensured that the course continued to move within a relatively narrow bandwidth.
Since April 13, the Realized Cap of the 0-1 month cohort has increased by $66 billion – a sign of active profit-taking by recent buyers, however BTC is holding within a narrow range as their sales (≈720,000 BTC) are being absorbed by new buyers. pic.twitter.com/NixblsubrK
— Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) June 24, 2025
Signals of exhaustion among sellers
The Utxo Block Profit/Loss Count Ratio model – an indicator that measures the ratio between profitable and loss -making transactions – shows that the sales wave has since weakened considerably. Where the ratio still peaked at 34,000 points in May, it has now fallen back to just 216. “Most profitable sales have already been done,” said Adler. At the same time, the share of transactions with loss has increased, which indicates that many investors are currently accumulating instead of selling.
UTXO Block P/L Count Ratio Model: when the indicator reached 34,000 points at the $112K peak, it signaled an avalanche of profit-taking many investors were selling coins at a profit. Now the metric has fallen to 216 points, indicating that profitable sales have almost… pic.twitter.com/qxm05KEiu8
— Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) June 24, 2025
Altcoins share in the recovery: Pi-token takes the crown
Not only Bitcoin recovered strongly. Various Altcoins also achieved profit, in particular Ethereumthat the $ 2,400 limit passed again. XRP is close to $ 2.20, while also BNB, SOL, DOGE in ADA Light increases showed.
However, the most striking climber of the day is the Pi-Toking of Pi Network. With a price jump of 16%, PI is by far the biggest winner in the market. The revival seems to be mainly inspired by rumors within the community about a possible listing on a large trading platform.
Macrotrends determine the Bitcoin course
Despite the recent recovery, Bitcoin has not had an easy month of June, partly due to liquidation waves and seasonal weakness in the summer months. Analysts such as Benjamin Cowen point out that Bitcoin in previous bull markets also had difficulty with the months of June and July, often followed by a strong revival in the last quarter of the year.
Nevertheless, optimism in the market is currently dominated. Analysts such as Daan Crypto Trades and Michaël van de Poppe expect that the reduced geopolitical risk will release the way for more price stability – and possibly even new increases in the coming weeks.
#Bitcoin is now 9% up since reaching its second bottom level.
Great stuff.
It’s also attacking the resistance that we need to break.
If this breaks, it’s new all-time high season & #Altcoins to run massively. pic.twitter.com/PvqaFR84Bp
– Michaël van de Poppe (@Cryptomichnl) June 25, 2025
While the Bitcoin course is moving stably above $ 106,000, the sentiment seems to be carefully tilting to a more positive view of the second half of the year.
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