Uncertainty about inflation and $ 100k level puts Bitcoin course under pressure

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Written by Arjan Schreur on June 09 2025.

Of Bitcoin Koers is now in a field of tension, investors are focusing their attention on important economic figures and market sentiments. With the American inflation report (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) on the way, along with increasing geopolitical tensions and a recent struggle for words between Donald Trump and Elon Musk, the course of Bitcoin remains vulnerable and volatile.

Inflation figures set tone for market expectations

This week is full of economic publications that the markets may bring in motion. The American consumer price index (CPI) of May – planned for Tuesday 11 June – is an important inflation figure that is closely monitored by both central banks and investors. This report provides insight into how quickly prices for goods and services increase, which has a direct influence on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve.

Shortly thereafter, the producer price index (PPI) appears, which indicates how much it costs for companies to produce goods. The PPI often acts as a precursor to the CPI, because rising production costs can usually be seen later in retail prices.

According to analysts, the figures could confirm that inflation pressure is still present. This would make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to quickly lower interest rates, despite previous expectations from the market. Investors currently almost unanimously count that the interest rate will remain unchanged during the FED meeting on 18 June. The focus is now on September, when there may be room for a first reduction.

Tension around Bitcoin course of $ 100,000 as a key zone

The Bitcoin Koers is currently moving around a crucial psychological limit of $ 100,000. Although the coin managed to break through $ 106,000 for a short time during the weekend trade, a convincing rise was not forthcoming. The course Corrected light and traded on Monday morning around $ 105,600.

Market analysts point to the importance of the $ 100,000 level as strong support. If buyers did not defend that level, it would open the door for further decreases. Traders warn of so -called “liquidity grabs” – fast price movements in which large trade volumes are used to temporarily manipulate prices.

According to analyst Daan Crypto Trades, there are significant clusters of lung positions below the $ 100,000 level, which can lead to massive liquidations in the event of a fall in price. A correction below this level could considerably strengthen downward pressure.

However, he remains bullish in a somewhat broader time frame.

Bitcoin Koers (BTC) 30-minute graph
Bitcoin Koers (BTC) 30-minute graph. Source: TradingView

Short -term holders and resistance levels

On-chain data from Cryptoquant shows that many Bitcoin buyers who entered in recent weeks are now around the break-even point. This group, known as short -term holders, has an average purchase price around $ 106,200. As soon as the course approaches this level, some people choose to sell their positions, for fear of getting red again. This behavior in turn creates resistance around that price level.

At the bottom, the average cost level of buyers between three and six months ago is around $ 97,500. That makes it an important level of support that many investors hope for.

This dynamic between buying and sales zones emphasizes how psychology and behavioral patterns of investors have direct influence on the Bitcoin course.

Trump vs. Musk: Drama with market effects

As if macro-economic factors do not cause enough tension, a public conflict between Donald Trump and Elon Musk came on top of it at the end of last week. The two influential figures in the crypto industry openly attacked each other on social media, which led to uncertainty within the community.

Some fear that the deteriorated relationship between these pro-Crypto figures can dislocate in the long term for the market. However, others see it as a typical example of a “Sell the Rumor, Buy the News” scenario. According to analysis company Santiment, increased discussion about prominent figures often leads to turning points in the market.

The decrease at the end of last week – which coincided with the first public tensions between Trump and Musk – could therefore already be priced, says Santiment.

Calm market before possible storm

Despite the recent volatility, there is still optimism among some analysts. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) show that the market cools down, while the trade volume is declining. For connoisseurs, that is a classic sign of an approaching outbreak – the “Calm Before the Storm.”

Trader Cryptoking calls the current price movements a typical “volatility squeeze”: the price is higher soils, while the resistance is being tested more and more often under $ 108,000. A breakthrough above this level could clear the road towards $ 120,000, as is the expectation of some optimistic traders.

Altcoins flat, focus on Bitcoin

While Bitcoin claims attention, altcoins remain relatively calm. Ethereum holds around $ 2,500, without breaking to the $ 2,700 resistance. XRP an internet computer (ICP) showed small profits, while most memecoins lost further ground.

The total market capitalization of Crypto fell by approximately 2% to $ 3.41 trillion, with which the market remains within the reach of the previously deployed lateral trend since the end of May.

Preview: everything revolves around inflation

With inflation figures on the way and the FED meeting in the sights, this week will determine the further course of the Bitcoin course. The battle around the $ 100,000 level will be crucial: know how to stand the market and to bend resistance to support, or does a new wave of sales pressure follow? Investors hold their breath.

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